- Currency & Cash
AUD Currency Outlook
18 Oct 2021 |
By Jesse Imer
READ TIME 5 mins
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Currency & Cash
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Patient Powell and the RBA Bank Safeguard
24 Sep 2021 |
By Jesse Imer
READ TIME 4 mins
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This has been a fast moving week, between a live Fed policy meeting, the AUKUS agreement and nuclear submarines, the looming spectre of China Evergrande missing bond coupon payments, and RBA providing an explicit framework for how it can provide...
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Historically, our AUD’s worth has been defined by three key criteria – commodity prices, interest rate differentials (“carry”) and China. In respect of the developments of 2020, we can now add COVID-19, creating the “four C’s” framework. In today’s note...
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The RBA met for their monthly policy meeting yesterday and their statement surprised slightly dovish, having re-affirmed their decision to taper their asset purchase program, but doing so in a slowly manner than previously stated. Whilst this is dovish and...
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In the weeks leading towards the annual Jackson Hole Symposium, we weren’t expecting anything profoundly shocking to eventuate, where the Fed – like other central banks – has been slowly providing forward guidance to avoid another calamitous “Taper Tantrum” that...
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When we published our 2021 Outlook last year, we forecast an AUD/USD exchange rate to reach 80c, which happened in 35 days, in early February! Since then, AUD/USD had trended lower, as our AUD has been weak relative to the...
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- Currency & Cash
RBA Decides to Remove SOME Policy Accommodation
07 Jul 2021 |
By Jesse Imer
READ TIME 4 mins
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Yesterday the RBA met in a meeting foreshadowed in previous months to be “live”, where they would potentially recalibrate the monetary policy setting of the domestic economy. The RBA didn’t disappoint – amending their asset purchase program, adopting data-based forward...
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- Currency & Cash
Risk Off Series: Foreign Currency Exposure
23 Jun 2021 |
By Jesse Imer
READ TIME 6 mins
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In the past, the ability to buy and hold foreign currencies such as US dollars or Japanese yen was unavailable to non-institutional investors, where the minimum requirement was generally millions of AUD of investment, and a private banking arrangement. However,...
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Usually when Australian exporters have big years – like they’re having this year – we see the AUD/USD exchange rate rally where AUD outperforms most other currencies. However, this year AUD/USD is trading in a confined range, while our terms...
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